July 1, 2026: Quoted in New York Times, "The Incumbent Democrats at Risk of Losing to Progressive Challengers"
by Tim Balk in the NY Times: “Overall, eight House incumbents, including five Democrats, have lost primaries during the midterms, an unusually high tally, said Kyle Kondik, an analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.”
June 10, 2026: Panelist at AEI's Election Watch 2026: Parsing the Primaries and the Latest on Mid-Decade Redistricting
I joined John Fortier, Sean Trende, and Chris Stirewalt at AEI for a discussion of the primary season, redistricting, and the midterm.
Aug. 29, 2023: "No, Ohio is Not in Play" for Politico Magazine
Despite the Democratic side winning in the recent Issue 1 vote in Ohio, the state is still not a true battleground in the 2024 presidential race, I write for Politico Magazine.
Nov. 11, 2021: NY Times Op-Ed - "How Likely is a Democratic Comeback Next Year?"
“When parties have bucked the midterm history, they’ve sometimes had an unusually good development emerge in their favor. If there is any lesson from last week’s results, it is that the circumstances were ordinary, not extraordinary. If they remain so, the Democratic outlook for next year — as it so often is for the presidential party in a midterm election — could be bleak.”
See more here.
Aug. 22, 2020: Comments to the NY Times on Convention Bounces
“Historically the conventions have been a time for the party to unify,” Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, said in an interview. “But the bottom line is that there are not that many undecideds, and the conventions don’t really need to unify the party because the parties are already unified.” He pointed to an average that he had calculated using four high-quality national polls taken just before the D.N.C., showing that more than nine in 10 members of each major party said they would support their nominee.
Full story here.
Feb. 24, 2020: New York Times column on Sanders' impact down-ballot
It’s clear that many elected Democrats are worried about running with Bernie Sanders at the top of the ticket. Should they be?